Jerome Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$21k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$135k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$135k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
100%
Yes
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$13k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$13k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
63%
June 30
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
$168k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$168k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$325k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$325k today$1.7m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Fed decision in April?
$38.8m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.8m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$3.4m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.6m Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$390k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.6m Vol.🔥$390k today$249k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$308k Liq.
🔥$314k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$314k today$308k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
27%
3.75%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$273k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$273k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
37%
0 (0 bps)
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$256k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$256k today$196k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
67%
↓ 3.25%
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$758k Liq.
🔥$229k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$229k today$758k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
24%
Yes
Who will Trump meet with in March?
$239k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$239k Vol.$127k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
4%
Andy Jassy
64%
December Meeting
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$242k Vol.
$18k Liq.
11
Ends in about 9 hours
$242k Vol.$18k Liq.11Ends in about 9 hours
6%
4.5%