Khamenei Out Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$206k Liq.
🔥$129k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$129k today$206k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 6 days
84%
Epic Fury

0%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price

What will Trump say in April?
$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$36k Liq.9Ends in about 1 month
90%
Operation Epic Fury

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$101k Liq.
62
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$101k Liq.62Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$25k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$1k Vol.
$292 Liq.
37
Ends in about 15 hours
$1k Vol.$292 Liq.37Ends in about 15 hours
47%
March 31

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$699k Vol.
$42k Liq.
115
Ends in about 1 month
$699k Vol.$42k Liq.115Ends in about 1 month
37%
May 31

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$493k Vol.
$58k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$493k Vol.$58k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 15 hours
$389k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 15 hours
3%
Yes

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$255k Vol.
$56k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$255k Vol.$56k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
27%
April 30

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$922k Liq.
🔥$378k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$378k today$922k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$128k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$128k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$494k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$50k today$494k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM