Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$364k Vol.
$195k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$364k Vol.$195k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.1m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$241k Liq.
🔥$186k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$186k today$241k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$50k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$58k Vol.
$88k Liq.
19
Ends in 10 days
$58k Vol.$88k Liq.19Ends in 10 days
66%
INC
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
166
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$28k Liq.166Ends in 3 months
10%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.4m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
2
Ends in about 12 hours
$56.4m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$2.0m Liq.2Ends in about 12 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$475k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$475k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
33%
Yes
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
$16k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$16k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 2 months
79%
Shin Yong-han
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes