Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
M
March Unemployment Rate
$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
🔥$115k today
Ends in about 10 hours
$159k Vol.🔥$115k today$28k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
38%
4.4%
M
March Inflation US - Annual
$3.1m Vol.
$123k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 7 days
$3.1m Vol.🔥$75k today$123k Liq.Ends in 7 days
98%
≥2.8%
M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$890k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$890k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 7 days
40%
3.3%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$383k Vol.
$143k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$383k Vol.$143k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
M
89%
≥0.8%
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$344k Vol.
$26k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$344k Vol.$26k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
60%
5.0%
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$6k Vol.
$890 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$6k Vol.$890 Liq.2Ends in 11 months
33%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$777 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$777 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
92%
Up
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$121k today$16k Liq.173
16%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$66k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$66k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
34%
Yes
H
How many jobs added in March?
$22k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$22k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
35%
50k – 100k
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
W
1%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$11k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
M
51%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$131k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$131k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 1 day
83%
200+
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$33k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 5 days
47%
200+