Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$834k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$834k Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
50%
≥3.4%

99%
≥2.8%

89%
≥0.8%

How high will inflation get in 2026?
$342k Vol.
$142k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$342k Vol.$142k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%

30%
4.4%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$22k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$22k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
64%
5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes

99%
2.6%

24%
Isfahan nuclear facility

US recession by end of 2026?
$923k Vol.
$76k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$923k Vol.$76k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes

What price will Ethena hit in March?
$100k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$100k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 1 day
4%
↓ 0.08

31%
100k+

1%
↓ 20700

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

1%
Yes

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
$74k Vol.$9k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
