Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$834k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days

50%

≥3.4%

March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$2.9m Vol.
$150k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days

99%

≥2.8%

March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$515k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

89%

≥0.8%

How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$342k Vol.
$142k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months

98%

Above 3%

March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$39k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

30%

4.4%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

87%

Up

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$22k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

64%

5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

5%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

12%

Yes

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$40k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

99%

2.6%

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$15k Liq.
68

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$923k Vol.
$76k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months

38%

Yes

What price will Ethena hit in March?

What price will Ethena hit in March?

$100k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

4%

↓ 0.08

How many jobs added in March?

How many jobs added in March?

$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

31%

100k+

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

$49k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

1%

↓ 20700

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

0%

Yes

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$708k Vol.
$18k Liq.
95
Ended

93%

April 30