Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
34%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$393k Liq.
🔥$639k today
209
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$639k today$393k Liq.209Ends in 1 day
45%
June 30
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$211k Liq.
🔥$121k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$121k today$211k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$519k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$519k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$670 Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$670 Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
September 30
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?
$135k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$135k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
$116k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$198k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 11 hours
$198k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$102k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
harvard · education
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
harvard · education
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Mauricio Pochettino
No announcement in 2024