Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$130k Vol.
$35k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$11.2m Vol.
$441k Liq.
🔥$541k today
232
Ended

28%

June 30

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.0m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$204k today
891
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

22%

Leadership Change

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m Vol.
$401k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

64%

Orbán - Hungary PM

H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$120k Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

$2k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

September 30

J
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?

$501 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

72%

Yes

N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

$774 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

$117k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

$15 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

X
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Geopolitics · World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

$1.7m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

2%

Yes

C
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?

harvard · education

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

C
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?

harvard · education

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

Y
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

A
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

D
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?

Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

M
Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

EPL · Sports

Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

EPL · Sports

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Mauricio Pochettino