Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
C
33%
Yes
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$11.2m Vol.
$441k Liq.
🔥$541k today
232
Ended
$11.2m Vol.🔥$541k today$441k Liq.232Ended
28%
June 30
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$204k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$204k today$329k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$401k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$401k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$120k Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$120k Vol.$17k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$2k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
September 30
J
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
$501 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$501 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
72%
Yes
N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
$774 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$774 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
$117k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
$15 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
C
harvard · education
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
C
harvard · education
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
Yes
Y
Yes
W
No
A
Yes
D
Yes
W
Mauricio Pochettino