Lex Fridman Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$64k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$64k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$803k Vol.
$124k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$803k Vol.$124k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
86%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$13k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 30 days
82%
Anthropic
L
0%
Yes
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$7k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 30 days
39%
C
21%
Yes
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$482k Vol.
$169k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$482k Vol.$169k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
44%
Anthropic
W
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$373k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$373k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
60%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$528k Vol.
$94k Liq.
1
Ended
$528k Vol.$94k Liq.1Ended
99%
W
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$16.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$283k today
1
Ended
$16.1m Vol.🔥$283k today$1.3m Liq.1Ended
100%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$117k Liq.
2
Ended
$1.0m Vol.$117k Liq.2Ended
99%
Anthropic
A
3%
Yes
W
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$701k Vol.
$100k Liq.
2
Ended
$701k Vol.$100k Liq.2Ended
99%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$567k Vol.
$76k Liq.
3
Ended
$567k Vol.$76k Liq.3Ended
99%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$411k Vol.
$65k Liq.
3
Ended
$411k Vol.$65k Liq.3Ended
98%
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$104k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$104k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Marxist