Marginfi Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$17k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$17k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 19 days
45%
PB 5-10%

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 12 days
23%
Keiko Fujimori <5%

98%
Stratton 6–9%

8%
Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$67k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$67k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.2m Vol.
$146k Liq.
14
Ends in 12 days
$1.2m Vol.$146k Liq.14Ends in 12 days
39%
Tisza 9%+

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%

Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$15k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$15k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$72k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$72k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
$88k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30

22%
December 31, 2026

>16%
All
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
$10k Vol.$0 Liq.

6-8%

All
What will the Margin of Victory be in the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?
$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

