Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
H
How many jobs added in March?
$21k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$21k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
28%
100k+
M
March Unemployment Rate
$158k Vol.
$36k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$158k Vol.🔥$114k today$36k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
40%
4.4%
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$344k Vol.
$30k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$344k Vol.$30k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
60%
5.0%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$817 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$817 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
W
1%
Yes
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$6k Vol.
$932 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$6k Vol.$932 Liq.2Ends in 11 months
33%
Yes
W
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
$196 Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$196 Vol.$310 Liq.Ends in 12 days
66%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$69k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
92%
Up
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
N
50%
Up
C
12%
Yes
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
N
41%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?
$0 Vol.
$24 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$0 Vol.$24 Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
53%
Up
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause