Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
39%
100k+
33%
4.4%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$129 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
83%
Yes
1%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
7%
Up
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes
25%
Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
$920k Vol.
$67k Liq.
51
Ends in 10 months
$920k Vol.$67k Liq.51Ends in 10 months
36%
Yes
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$692 Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
$3k Vol.$692 Liq.Ends in about 17 hours
77%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
83%
Up
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 1 day
87%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$56k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$8k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
17%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$2 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
<15 minutes
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
66%
Yes
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$7k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
17%
Yes
February Unemployment Rate - Japan
$35k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$35k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
50%
2.7%
75%
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