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Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

AllPoliticsIranRussiaUkraineTrumpMiddle EastIsraelNATOZelenskyyPutinZelenskyNuclearGeopoliticsVanceEuropeTrump PresidencyParlaysGreenlandForeign PolicyWorldTrump PutinTrump ZelenskyyUkraine Peace DealIran CeasefireU.S. X Iran
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Geopolitics·Nuclear

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

$91k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Politics·Trump-Putin

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

World·Trump

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

R
Russia nuclear test by...?

Politics·Trump

Russia nuclear test by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ended

12%

December 31, 2026

U
U.S. nuclear test by...?

Geopolitics·Ukraine

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$611k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ended

16%

December 31, 2026

I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Politics·Middle East

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$146k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Politics·Israel

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

$471k Vol.
$44k Liq.
63
Ends in 9 months

39%

Yes

U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

World·Middle East

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

$964k Vol.
$41k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months

25%

Yes

W
Will any country leave NATO by...?

World·NATO

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$601k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$166k today
22
Ends in 9 months

16%

December 31, 2026

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$443k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

N
NATO article 5 before 2027?

Politics·Foreign Policy

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$35k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Politics·Trump

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$489k Vol.
$339k Liq.
🔥$327k today
7
Ends in 9 months

8%

December 31

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Trump-Zelenskyy

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$69k Vol.
$72k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Politics·Trump

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Politics·Iran

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$459k Vol.
$71k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Politics·Trump

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k Vol.
$29k Liq.
4

11%

Yes

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Ukraine

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Geopolitics·Trump

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

$164k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes