Outages Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$344k Vol.
$26k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$344k Vol.$26k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
75%
May 31
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
3%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
$698 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$698 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$13k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
4%
Yes
8%
Yes
