Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.0m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$8.3m today
1,404
$81.0m Vol.🔥$8.3m today$2.5m Liq.1,404
73%
December 31
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$38k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$385k Liq.
🔥$488k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$488k today$385k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$201k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$44k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$44k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$456k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$262k today$456k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,428Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$96 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$96 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$188k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$188k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$13k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
A
No