Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$64.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,263
$64.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,263
72%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$56k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$7k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
41%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$41k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$41k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$224k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$31k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$31k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$324k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$324k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$475k Liq.
🔥$73k today
5,427
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$73k today$475k Liq.5,427Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 4 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$9k Liq.
26
Ends in about 4 hours
$126k Vol.$9k Liq.26Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
No
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?
$161k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
$161k Vol.$0 Liq.22Ended
No