Physics Predictions & Odds· 276 markets

U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

$187k Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$79k today
6
Ends in about 2 months

19%

Yes

E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

16%

Yes

A
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

$453 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

9%

Yes

C
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

$380 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

11%

Yes

A
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

$203k Vol.
$72k Liq.
26
Ends in 2 days

10%

Yes

W
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

$31k Vol.
$35k Liq.
4
Ends in 27 days

6%

Yes

W
Will Blake Lively attend the Met Gala?

Will Blake Lively attend the Met Gala?

$0 Vol.
$308 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

44%

Yes

E
Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

23%

June 30

W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

$138k Vol.
$164k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

28%

Habshan Field/Processing Complex

A
Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$142k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

W
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

56%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$58k Vol.
$54k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

30%

6–10s

W
Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

$30 Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

42%

Yes

G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

$44k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

56%

Yes

U
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

$585k Vol.
$28k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

9%

December 31, 2026

N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$107k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$37k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

W
Will Trump attend UFC 327?

Will Trump attend UFC 327?

$8k Vol.
$671 Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days

63%

Yes

O
Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes