Public Release Predictions & Odds· 484 markets

W
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$251k Vol.
$5k Liq.
167
Ended

27%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

31%

Yes

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$75k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year

44%

Morgan Stanley

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$574k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended

3%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

$107k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

79%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

73%

Yes

W
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

$145k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ended

72%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$79k Liq.
163
Ends in 27 days

56%

June 30, 2026

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$948k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

86%

May 15

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$65k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

61%

June 30

W
Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.6m Vol.
$339k Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months

22%

Richard Branson

G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$824k Vol.
$43k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months

31%

June 30

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k Vol.
$5k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$22k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

67%

June 30

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

61%

April 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

17%

Yes