Public Release Predictions & Odds· 485 markets

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$236k Vol.
$2k Liq.
154
Ended

2%

Yes

Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?

Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

40%

June 30

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

41%

Goldman Sachs

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ended

16%

April 30

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

64%

Yes

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

$106k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

79%

Yes

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended

75%

Yes

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.5m Vol.
$313k Liq.
🔥$100k today
121
Ends in 3 months

41%

Richard Branson

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$896k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days

76%

April 30

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m Vol.
$88k Liq.
163
Ends in 30 days

69%

June 30, 2026

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$809k Vol.
$91k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

43%

June 30

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$43k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

71%

June 30

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4

94%

June 30

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$359k Vol.
$40k Liq.
40
Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k Vol.
$12k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

21%

June 30, 2026

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

49%

June 30

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ended

50%

April 30