Q4 Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$926k Vol.
$80k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months

36%

Yes

C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

$201k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ended

74%

4.0–5.0%

G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

$25k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 months

61%

>2.5%

C
Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

43%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

37%

Yes

U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

<0

E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

35%

1.0-2.0%

N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months

15%

Yes

C
CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$4k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

95%

Mike Thompson

T
TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

86%

Republican Party

W
What will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit in April 2026?

What will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit in April 2026?

$5 Vol.
$286 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

74%

↓ $580

G
GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

96%

Democratic Party

N
NJ-04 House Election Winner

NJ-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

M
MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

92%

Democratic Party

N
NV-04 House Election Winner

NV-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

79%

Democratic Party

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

$2k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

37%

Alfonso López Chau

W
WA-04 House Election Winner

WA-04 House Election Winner

$21k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

83%

Republican Party

C
CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

63%

Republican Party

N
NC-04 House Election Winner

NC-04 House Election Winner

$7k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democratic Party