Rate Predictions & Odds· 413 markets

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
78%
↑ 1.6M

96%
No change

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
$368k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$368k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
18%
↑ 1.6M

Will SOFR hit __ in March?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
50%
↑3.72%

65%
No change

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 12 hours
$117k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in about 12 hours
0%
Yes

42%
Yes

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<1600.00

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Yes

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
53%
1600.00+

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$350k Liq.
🔥$413k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$413k today$350k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$276k today
59
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$276k today$1.3m Liq.59Ends in 9 months
38%
0 (0 bps)

25%
Yes

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$45k Liq.
28
Ends in about 12 hours
$1.2m Vol.$45k Liq.28Ends in about 12 hours
98%
5–15%

63%
December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

30%
4.5%

Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$7k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
80–85
