Referenda Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$37k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$37k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
$127k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$127k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$228 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$228 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$24k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$414 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$414 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$48k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$48k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$289 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$289 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
62%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$426 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$426 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$131k Vol.
$28k Liq.
105
Ended
$131k Vol.$28k Liq.105Ended
88%
70–75%
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$557k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ended
$557k Vol.$25k Liq.28Ended
51%
December 31, 2026
26%
December 31
37%
JP
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$27k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$27k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in 12 days
41%
FP