Referenda Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
$124k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$124k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$296 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$296 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$27k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$36k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$36k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$493 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$493 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$68k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$290 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$290 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$570 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$570 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$121k Vol.
$18k Liq.
88
Ended
$121k Vol.$18k Liq.88Ended
82%
70–75%
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 8 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.26Ends in about 8 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$46k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$46k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
35%
JP
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$27k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$27k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in 12 days
39%
FP