Resignation Predictions & Odds· 203 markets
Netanyahu out by...?
$90.6m Vol.
$4.5m Liq.
🔥$4.8m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$90.6m Vol.🔥$4.8m today$4.5m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$256k Liq.
🔥$143k today
888
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$143k today$256k Liq.888Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$174k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$174k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
$690k Vol.
$91k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$690k Vol.$91k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
76%
Daniel Ennis
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
1%
Yes
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$10k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$10k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31, 2026
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$36k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$36k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
Geopolitics · Politics
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$101k Vol.
$22k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$22k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
27%
December 31, 2026
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
6%
Yes
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$798 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$798 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
football · Sports
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$74 Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$74 Liq.3Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
9%
Yes