Robot Dreams Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$984 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$984 Liq.9Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$71k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$71k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$59k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$59k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
32%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$851k Vol.
$157k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$851k Vol.$157k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Anthropic
C
66%
April 17
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$15k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$15k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in 28 days
85%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$9k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$9k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 28 days
52%
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$926k Vol.
$174k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$926k Vol.$174k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
W
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$3.0m Vol.
$375k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months
$3.0m Vol.$375k Liq.65Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
C
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$67k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$67k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
↑ 1550
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$335k Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$335k Vol.$107k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
O
The Boy and the Heron
O
Yes