Russia US Relations Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$493k Vol.
$151k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$493k Vol.$151k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US x Russia military clash by...?
$584k Vol.
$27k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$584k Vol.$27k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$18k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$167k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$167k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
88%
No meeting by June 30
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$109k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$109k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
T
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$50k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$50k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$34k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
W
What will Putin say during his interview with Tucker?
$352k Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
$352k Vol.$0 Liq.51Ended
Nazi
A
No
P
No