Security Predictions & Odds· 231 markets

I
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$761k Vol.
$4k Liq.
113
Ended

19%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$615k Vol.
$111k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in 28 days

43%

After April 30

H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.2m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ended

100%

48+ days

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$38k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

1%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.1m Vol.
$167k Liq.
🔥$155k today
174
Ends in over 1 year

46%

Other

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.8m Vol.
$870k Liq.
🔥$93k today
72
Ends in 9 months

67%

Mojtaba Khamenei

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$120k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$887k Vol.
$99k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$128k Vol.
$204k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

7%

Yes

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$570k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$422k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended

31%

June 30

S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 1?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 1?

$4k Vol.
$180 Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours

98%

Up

O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 1?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 1?

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours

86%

Up

I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

$343k Vol.
$25k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$157k Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

21%

Yes

I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$5k Liq.
393
Ended

18%

June 30