Security Predictions & Odds· 261 markets

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$758k Vol.
$6k Liq.
113
Ended

22%

June 30

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$520k Vol.
$134k Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in about 1 month

26%

After April 30

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

100%

After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$108k today
Ends in about 9 hours

0%

Yes

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$3.9m Vol.
$188k Liq.
🔥$86k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years

63%

Other

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

Number of TSA Passengers March 30?

Number of TSA Passengers March 30?

$30k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

60%

2.4M-2.6M

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$107k Vol.
$183k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

7%

Yes

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

46%

Mojtaba Khamenei

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?

$28k Vol.
$9 Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

49%

Up

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 30?

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 30?

$7k Vol.
$292 Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

47%

Up

Most popular girl name 2025

Most popular girl name 2025

$240k Vol.
$46k Liq.
21
Ended

88%

Olivia

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

23%

April 30

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

44%

18-18.5m