Settlements Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
$88k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Will Russia enter Myrne by...?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
30%
April 30
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
April 30
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
$86k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$86k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
21%
Yes
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by...?
$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$21k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
28%
April 30
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?
$18k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$18k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$150k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$150k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
$884k Vol.
$118k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
$884k Vol.$118k Liq.31Ends in 3 months
35%
Dopropillia
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
36%
April 30
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
49%
60-79
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
$30k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$30k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
34%
April 30
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
68%
April 30
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
$57k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$57k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
63%
April 30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
$119k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$119k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$20k Liq.
320
Ends in about 9 hours
$642k Vol.$20k Liq.320Ends in about 9 hours
88%
April 30