Ship Predictions & Odds· 338 markets
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$109k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
<2
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$83k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$83k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
58%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
6%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
98%
<5
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 5
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$444k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$444k Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
53%
20-24
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$15k Liq.Ended
47%
25-29
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$193k today
122
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$193k today$135k Liq.122Ends in about 7 hours
26%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 7 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$28k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$118k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$118k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$73k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$73k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 15 days
32%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$196k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
5%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$33k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$33k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes