Shipping Predictions & Odds· 149 markets

J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$98k Vol.
$30k Liq.
4
Ends in 27 days

36%

April 30

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$477k Vol.
$55k Liq.
43
Ends in 27 days

20%

April 30

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$36k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

51%

2–3

W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$777k Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$54k today
25
Ends in 27 days

12%

United States

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$93k Vol.
$29k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

36%

June 30

2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$130k Vol.
$34k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

1
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
6
Ended

0%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$13k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$5k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$599k Vol.
$36k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

16%

↑ $3

S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$1.4m Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ended

54%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$425k Liq.
🔥$163k today
258
Ends in 3 months

62%

>$600M

W
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?

maersk · shipping

Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

trade · shipping

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended

June 30

W
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8?

Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

W
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023?

suez canal · trade

Will the Suez Canal close in 2023?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

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