Ships Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$89k today
100
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$89k today$65k Liq.100Ends in about 1 month
22%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$444k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$444k Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
53%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$609k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$609k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
5%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$16k Liq.Ended
45%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$200k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$200k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$328k Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in 3 days
$328k Vol.🔥$116k today$54k Liq.Ends in 3 days
83%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
<2
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 6 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 6 hours
98%
<5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$343k Vol.
$93k Liq.
🔥$62k today
35
Ends in about 1 month
$343k Vol.🔥$62k today$93k Liq.35Ends in about 1 month
33%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 6 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$28k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
87%
Sunday
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$936k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$936k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
45%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$194k today
122
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$194k today$138k Liq.122Ends in about 6 hours
28%
April 30
