Ships Predictions & Odds· 160 markets
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.1m Vol.
$223k Liq.
🔥$187k today
Ends in 28 days
$2.1m Vol.🔥$187k today$223k Liq.Ends in 28 days
13%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$29k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$29k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$38k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$38k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 3 days
27%
35-39
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$650k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ended
$650k Vol.$53k Liq.Ended
3%
20+
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$23k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 28 days
48%
20+
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$379k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$379k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
98%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
99%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$25k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$25k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
0-10
H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$36k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$36k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 28 days
51%
2–3
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$476k Vol.
$64k Liq.
43
Ends in 28 days
$476k Vol.$64k Liq.43Ends in 28 days
21%
April 30
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$21k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
1
0%
Yes
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$27k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 days
46%
Delcy / Rodriguez
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$974k Vol.
$73k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$974k Vol.$73k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
19%
April 30
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$74k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
20-24
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
35-39