Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
1%
Yes
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$512k Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$179k today
Ends in about 1 month
$512k Vol.🔥$179k today$136k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
27%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$21k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
99%
<6,000
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 6 days
73%
Peace Through Strength
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$80k Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
38%
18-18.5m
72%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.6M-2.8M
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$418 Vol.
$194 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$418 Vol.$194 Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
30%
Yes
1%
Yes
51%
6,500-7,000
91%
17.5-18m
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 13 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 13 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$41k Vol.
$6k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$6k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 13 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes