Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 377 markets

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$522k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$89k today
Ends in about 1 month

25%

April 13-16

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

100%

After March 31

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$17k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended

96%

<6,000

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

74%

Congresswoman

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours

9%

Jacky Rosen

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

35%

17.5-18m

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

$25k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ended

0%

3.2M-3.4M

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

$19k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended

0%

3.0M-3.2M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$866 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

3%

Yes

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

$21k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ended

0%

19-19.5m

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$627 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$399 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

55%

5,500-6,000

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$473 Vol.
$287 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

19%

Yes

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 8 hours

51%

December 31, 2026

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

No

US government shutdown by Mar 9?

US government shutdown by Mar 9?

$388k Vol.
$0 Liq.
134
Ended

Yes