Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$287k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$287k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$191k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$191k Vol.$86k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$79k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$79k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
$234k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$234k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30

45%
Yes

16%
Isfahan nuclear facility

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$154k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
69%
160-179

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
39%
3

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$24k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 8 days
28%
80-99

What price will Solana hit in 2026?
$540k Vol.
$391k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$540k Vol.$391k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↓ 60

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$437k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+


