Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$31.0m Vol.
$287k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

$191k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

92%

China

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

$79k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

2%

Yes

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

$234k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours

0%

Yes

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

$56k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

42%

April 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$375k Vol.
$16k Liq.
62

16%

Isfahan nuclear facility

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

83%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

42%

160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$154k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours

69%

160-179

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

39%

3

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$24k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

28%

80-99

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

$540k Vol.
$391k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

74%

↓ 60

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ended

4%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

38%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

56%

10+