Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 159 markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$326k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$326k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$187k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$187k Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$79k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$79k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
$234k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$234k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
45%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
84%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$151k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
$151k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 24 hours
70%
160-179
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$45k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$45k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
38%
3
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$24k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 8 days
28%
100-119
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$24k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
↓ $6,200
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
$175k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$175k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
56%
↓ 100
S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$16k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
86%
↓ $6,300