Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

31%

190-194

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

$39k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

33%

22–23

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$18k Vol.
$29k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$230k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days

85%

Yes

GA-14 special election winner?

GA-14 special election winner?

$200k Vol.
$127k Liq.
9
Ended

97%

Clayton Fuller

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

98%

Analilia Mejia

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

$61k Vol.
$47k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months

56%

Democrat

Florida Senate Election Winner

Florida Senate Election Winner

$19k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2

85%

Republican

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

56%

10+

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

$474 Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

95%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

39%

3

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$1k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

20%

115-120m

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

41%

April 30

UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

$739k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ended

4%

Yes