Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

27%
≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$108k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
190-194

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
33%
22–23

50%
2

81%
0

40%
7-9

73%
4-6

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$29k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$29k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$27k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes

97%
Clayton Fuller

98%
Analilia Mejia

56%
Democrat

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
39%
3

20%
115-120m

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
41%
April 30

