Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
27%
≤47
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$124k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$124k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
32%
190-194
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$54k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$54k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$100 Vol.
$13k Liq.
$100 Vol.$13k Liq.
50%
2
81%
0
40%
7-9
73%
4-6
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$37k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$37k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
97%
Clayton Fuller
98%
Analilia Mejia
56%
Democrat
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$46k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
38%
3
19%
115-120m
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
