Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
R
27%
≤47
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$93k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$93k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$588k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$588k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
22–23
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
$31k Vol.$2k Liq.1
40%
7-9
H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.1
82%
0
H
72%
4-6
H
51%
2
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$18k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$53k Vol.
$37k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
$53k Vol.$37k Liq.19Ends in 8 months
86%
Kuomintang (KMT)
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
5
Ends in 19 days
$237k Vol.$51k Liq.5Ends in 19 days
92%
Yes
G
97%
Clayton Fuller
N
98%
Analilia Mejia
O
57%
Democrat
F
87%
Republican
#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 2 months
55%
10+
S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 2 months
89%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
40%
3
2
20%
115-120m
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
