Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$638k Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$383k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$638k Vol.🔥$383k today$136k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
33%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 10 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$52k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$107k Liq.
🔥$69k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$69k today$107k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$436k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
$436k Vol.$42k Liq.Ended
50%
15-19
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$604k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
37%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$120k Liq.
🔥$177k today
122
Ends in about 10 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$177k today$120k Liq.122Ends in about 10 hours
28%
April 30
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$333k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$61k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$333k Vol.🔥$61k today$90k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$643k today
209
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$643k today$388k Liq.209Ends in 1 day
45%
June 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
2%
Yes
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$715k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$715k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
40%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 5
26%
Yes
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$200k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$200k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$207k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$207k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,250
$63.0m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,250
73%
December 31