Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$648k Vol.
$140k Liq.
🔥$331k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$648k Vol.🔥$331k today$140k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
27%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$228k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$228k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$328k Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$170k today
Ends in 3 days
$328k Vol.🔥$170k today$56k Liq.Ends in 3 days
81%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$83k Liq.
🔥$66k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$66k today$83k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$442k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ended
$442k Vol.$38k Liq.Ended
56%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$606k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$606k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
6%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
49%
25-29
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$150k Liq.
🔥$182k today
123
Ends in about 8 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$182k today$150k Liq.123Ends in about 8 hours
27%
April 30
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$334k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$55k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$334k Vol.🔥$55k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
36%
April 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.2m Vol.
$360k Liq.
🔥$657k today
215
Ends in 1 day
$9.2m Vol.🔥$657k today$360k Liq.215Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$718k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$718k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
42%
April 30
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
87%
TSA
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 5
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
6%
March 30