Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$653k Vol.
$147k Liq.
🔥$252k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$653k Vol.🔥$252k today$147k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
26%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$200k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$200k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$329k Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$104k today
Ends in 3 days
$329k Vol.🔥$104k today$50k Liq.Ends in 3 days
83%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$92k today
100
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$92k today$60k Liq.100Ends in about 1 month
22%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$444k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
$444k Vol.$43k Liq.Ended
53%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$609k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$609k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
5%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
55%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$15k Liq.Ended
44%
30-34
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$194k today
122
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$194k today$137k Liq.122Ends in about 6 hours
28%
April 30
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$351k Vol.
$93k Liq.
🔥$69k today
36
Ends in about 1 month
$351k Vol.🔥$69k today$93k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$351k Liq.
🔥$635k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$635k today$351k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$34k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$34k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
100%
Administration 10+ times
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$718k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$718k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
41%
April 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$109k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes
David / Sacks
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
35-39