Supreme Predictions & Odds· 136 markets
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$400k Liq.
47
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.$400k Liq.47Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
55%
Yes
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$33k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$33k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.4m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$58.4m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.4m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$655k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.9m Vol.🔥$655k today$1.5m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$425k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.🔥$425k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$257k Liq.
🔥$172k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$257k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$127k today$209k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 6 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 6 hours
46%
Yes
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$708k Vol.
$40k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$708k Vol.$40k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
37%
May 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$417k Vol.
$47k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$417k Vol.$47k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$43k Liq.
28
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.2m Vol.$43k Liq.28Ends in about 6 hours
98%
5–15%