Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
66%
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$7k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
46%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Science · Weather & Science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$27k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
80–90