Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
F
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 17 days
56%
Yes
U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$77k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$77k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 28 days
38%
June 30
F
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
94%
80–85
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$538k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$127k today
172
$538k Vol.🔥$127k today$16k Liq.172
19%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
19%
April 30
F
Science · Weather & Science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$27k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
80–90