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Tech Policy Predictions & Odds· 733 markets

AllSportsPoliticsBasketballBusinessTrumpSocial MediaBitcoinElon MuskChinaUS GovernmentAILegislationCongressTikTokEmploymentLayoffsNytTechTech PolicyEconomyNCAAGamesCBBTrump PresidencyMSTRMichael SaylorMicroStrategyHegsethDeepSeekForeign PolicyCrypto PolicyEconomic PolicyCollege BasketballWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsNCAA BasketballPalantirNational ChampionshipDodNCAA CBBCWBBClaudeDario Amodei
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Tech·Hegseth

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

17%

Yes

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

7%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

83%

Up

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

Sports · Basketball

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

California Baptist Lancers

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Rice Owls (W)

Games · NCAA

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Rice Owls (W)

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

10%

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (W)

Sports · Basketball

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (W)

$127 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)

Basketball · Games

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)

$41 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

UT Arlington Mavericks

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines (W)

Sports · Basketball

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines (W)

$169 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Utah Valley Wolverines

Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)

Games · NCAA

Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Oregon State Beavers (W)

Sports · Basketball

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Oregon State Beavers (W)

$200 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Virginia Tech Hokies

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

CWBB · NCAA

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

$184k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

69%

UConn

NCAA Tournament: Team to make National Championship

Basketball · College Basketball

NCAA Tournament: Team to make National Championship

$35k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

55%

Illinois

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

NCAA · CBB

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

$23.5m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$553k today
125
Ends in 4 days

35%

Michigan

Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?

Politics·social media

Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

CHIPS Act repealed before July?

Politics·Trump

CHIPS Act repealed before July?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

Tech·MicroStrategy

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,186
Ended

No

X allowed to operate in China before May?

World·DeepSeek

X allowed to operate in China before May?

$863k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

Will The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?

Tech·nyt

Will The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

Yes