Tech Releases Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

57%

June 30

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$93k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

$107k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

79%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

73%

Yes

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

59%

June 30

W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

W
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes

W
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months

91%

Yes

W
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

57%

Yes

U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$56 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

87%

Up

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

93%

Up

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

21%

April 30

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Down