Trade War Predictions & Odds· 304 markets
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$410k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in about 14 hours
$410k Vol.$13k Liq.25Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$220k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$220k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Israel
34%
800–900B
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
36%
June 30
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$325k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$325k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.0m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
427
Ends in about 1 month
$18.0m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$4.4m Liq.427Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$53k Liq.
28
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.2m Vol.$53k Liq.28Ends in about 14 hours
98%
5–15%
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 14 hours
$62k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 14 hours
98%
Yes
Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
$208k Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$208k Vol.$52k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
63%
$65
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
33%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?
$877k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$877k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Australia
Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?
$67k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
$67k Vol.$0 Liq.16Ended
No