Traffic Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$60k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$51k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$227k today$51k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$333k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$62k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$333k Vol.🔥$62k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$114k Liq.
🔥$63k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$63k today$114k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$100k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$100k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 30
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$30k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$30k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
$17k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$17k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
2%
Yes
46%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
53%
2.6M-2.8M
79%
<2.4M
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$442k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$442k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
46%
>18.5m
100%
<2.6M
100%
2.6M-2.8M