Trump Day 1 Predictions & Odds· 123 markets
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$26k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$26k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes
H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$58k Vol.
$54k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$54k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
31%
6–10s
W
78%
Susan Collins - ME-Sen
W
What will Trump say in March?
$973k Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$635k today
84
Ended
$973k Vol.🔥$635k today$105k Liq.84Ended
1%
Yes
W
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
$90k Vol.
$32k Liq.
7
Ends in 11 months
$90k Vol.$32k Liq.7Ends in 11 months
86%
1m
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.371Ended
87%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$14k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
N
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
$104k Vol.
$86k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$104k Vol.$86k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
48%
Micah Lasher
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.2m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$183k today
Ends in 27 days
$2.2m Vol.🔥$183k today$185k Liq.Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$30k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$30k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes
A
23%
December 31
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$31k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$31k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 27 days
41%
0-10
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$123k Vol.
$203k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$123k Vol.$203k Liq.Ends in 27 days
59%
Military action through April 30
W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)
$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$30k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
96%
April 2
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$47k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$47k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in 27 days
45%
April 24
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$651k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ended
$651k Vol.$53k Liq.Ended
3%
20+
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$23k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 27 days
52%
20+